Always Certain, Sometimes Correct: "A new year has arrived and with it another predictions column, possibly my last. As longtime readers know, the routine here is that I first review my predictions from a year ago and either revel in my brilliance (good luck, actually) or admit my failure (all failures are real, nothing is simulated and no special or computer effects are used). Then I get to go on and make 15 more predictions for what will happen in high tech during the coming 12 months. Let's get to it!"
I, Cringely . The Pulpit - http://www.pbs.org/cringely/pulpit/